Market Commentaries
select * from bbg_commentary where 1=1 order by date desc
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28 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
Limited liquidity today with the holiday in Europe and month end, just 4 x AAA short dated trades. US LSTA 100 Index +2bp dod into month end. AAA bonds trade 162dm-212dm with high coupon and post reinvestment bonds making up the tail of this range, our AAA Index is 166dm.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
Just the one single B trade on Fri. BECLO 7X F traded at 1213 dm, in line with the BlackRock XIV new issue level of 1200 dm.
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27 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
$138m of liquidity across the stack, US LSTA 100 Index -5bp dod whilst CLO spreads flat on the day. AAA trade 147dm-224dm with a range of profiles none of which are benchmarks – post reinvestment bonds, 3.0 high coupon bonds and 2nd pay profiles dominate with our AAA Index unchanged at 164dm.
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
AA trade 208dm-305dm with our AA Index unchanged at 246dm, no benchmark trades today (post reinv / low MVOC profiles). 1 x single-A trade in small size 300k clip benchmark profile bond ROCKT 2021-1A C CVR 93.85 at 313dm / 6.8y WAL with our AA Index set at 325dm. BBB trade 426dm-554dm (BBB Index 443dm) with 1 x post reinv at the tight end and high coupon/low MVOC bond through the wide end of the index. BB trade 816dm-955dm with 1 x benchmark trade VOYA 2020-1A ER CVR 87.92 at 873dm / 8.1y WAL (Voya) – EoRP 2026, coupon +635bps, MVOC at benchmark 102.96 and clean metrics with only the manager’s slightly weaker track record pushing this slightly wide to our BB Index 835dm.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
AAs have traded around 269 dm, unchanged on the day.
Single As have traded around 356 dm, again as expected.
BBBs are around 557 dm.
BBs are at 906 dm.
The only single B, VOYE 5X F, traded at 1188 dm which is a little tighter than our model prediction but is in line with dealer talk.
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26 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
$54m of liquidity, across AAA and BBB/BB/equity. US LSTA 100 Index -2bp dod and CLO spreads flat on the day. AAA trade 171dm-345dm, with both trades post reinvestment, FLAT 2017-1A AR CVR 99.24 at 171dm / 1y WAL and a very short wal bond (hence the high dm) CIFC 2012-2RA A1 CVR 99.38 at 345dm / 0.2y WAL (EoRP 2020
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
BBB trade 436dm-463dm wrapped around our BBB Index at 443dm. BB bonds trade 879dm-1257dm wide of our BB index 835dm, driven by lower MVOC and higher coupon profiles, at the wide end is OZLM 2017-17X D CVR 79.17 at 1257 / 4.8y WAL, this is a post reinvestment bond with a cuspy MVOC 100.6, high ADR 1.3, low Jnr OC cushion 1.6 and weaker manager profile from Sculptor.
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25 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
$210m of liquidity across the stack, US LSTA 100 index flat dod and CLO spreads slightly softer at AAA/AA but firmer at BBB. AAA trade 166dm-217dm with the benchmark trades at the tight end 166dm (vs our AAA index 164dm). Post reinvestment bonds drive the tail with a MM CLO AAA GOCAP 2020-47A A1 CVR 98.7 at 226dm / 2.4y WAL.
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
AA trade 194dm-263dm with our AA Index 246dm (benchmarks 243dm-263dm), post reinvestment bond through the tight end. Single-As trade 292dm-373dm with our single-A index 331dm. BBB saw the most liquidity today with 27 trades for $78m of notional, trading range 398dm-694dm with benchmarks 411dm-451dm (BBB Index 443dm). MVOC drives those bonds wider of the index along with a number of high coupon bonds which are well in excess of +300bps. BB trade 486dm-973dm with one benchmark trade GNRT 5A E CVR 89.57 at 864dm / 5.6y WAL – MVOC is in line 102.8, coupon +601bps, Jnr OC cushion healthy 5.2 (our BB Index 835dm).
EUR AAA CLO
OHECP 2021-8X A traded at 175 dm, in line with recent levels.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
HARVT 24X B1R, a AA bond, traded slightly weaker than expected at 281 dm.
By contrast the single A’s generally traded firmer than expected at around 325 dm.
A lot of BBB traded, at an average spread of 536 dm. This is unchanged on recent sessions. A few of these bonds traded about a week ago around 0.5 points lower.
BBs have traded softer than expected, in general, at around 871 dm.
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24 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
$108m of liquidity today across IG, sub-IG and Equity, US LSTA 100 Index continues to grind tighter +11bp dod with CLO spreads largely flat dod. 1 x AAA benchmark trade ELMW3 2019-3A AR CVR 98.35 at 161dm / 5.2y WAL (EoRP 2026) with clean metrics (vs AAA Index 162dm), furthermore there are a number of high coupon 3.0 trades that trade 210dm-249dm with coupons >200bps.
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
AA trade 222dm-277dm with benchmarks 231dm-257dm (AA Index 238dm) with MVOC driving the wide and tighter ends with all trades with an EoRP 2026. 2 x distressed BBB trades 734dm-809dm with MVOCs depressed in 104 context and low/cuspy Junior OC cushions and coupons are +335bps/+415bps which are on the high side and scale the dm higher too.
EUR AAA CLO
PSTET 2021-1X A traded at 172 dm.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
Both BBB trades are recent issue, high margin bonds. They both traded around 640 dm.
BBs have traded today around 901 dm which is a reflection of the high margin on the bonds.
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21 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
Little liquidity today with only 2 x AAA trades with spreads flat, US LSTA 100 Index +5bp dod. 1 x benchmark AAA trade GLM 2021-9X A (GoldenTree) covers 98.66 at 160dm / 2.8y WAL - MVOC is 146.1, coupon +107bps and Jnr OC cushion 4.9 from a benchmark manager.
EUR AAA CLO
AAAs traded at 177 dm. Spreads are unchanged.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
Single A’s are a touch softer on that day, trading at an average spread of 366 dm, around 5 -10 bps wider.
With the BBs it looks like PRVD 3X ER and HARVT 28X E traded richer than dealer px talk and our models agree with the dealer talk whereas BCCE 2021-2X E traded cheaper than px talk and our models.
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20 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
$35m of trading today across the stack including equity, markets fairly stable with US LSTA 100 Index +1bp dod and CLO spreads slightly firmer on the day. AAA trade 155dm-163dm with our AAA Index tightening into 162dm.
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
BBB trade 416dm-721dm with our BBB Index unchanged at 446dm, positive manager profile driving bonds inside the index and MVOC driving the wide end. BB trade 826dm-1035dm with one benchmark trade INVCO 2022-1A E CVR 90.2 at 826dm / 8.9y WAL (vs BB Index 833dm) – EoRP 2027, MVOC 102.6 which is in line with benchmarks, coupon +630bps and Jnr OC cushion 5.5 with Invesco the manager which drives it slightly inside the index given the manager’s strong profile.
EUR AAA CLO
It has been a heavy day’s trading across the stack today. AAAs are firmer today by around 5bps, trading at an average spread of 183 dm.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
AAs are also firmer on the day. The on-the-run bonds have traded at an average spread of 279 dm. HARVT 7X BR traded at 194 dm because it is heavily delevered.
2 x single A’s have traded. OHECP 2015-3X CR is a deal in pay down and traded at 268dm. AVOCA 16X C1R traded at 331 dm.
Non-delevered BBBs have traded at around 527 dm. Spreads are grinding in here too.
A raft of BBs have traded. Again the levels are firm. The average spread is 834 dm, which is around 20 bps tighter on the day.
In single B’s ALBAC 3X F has a low MVOC and traded at 1492 dm. VOYE 4X FR is performing better and traded at 1213 dm.
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19 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
$95m of liquidity across the stack, US LSTA 100 Index continues to firm +2bp dod whilst CLO spreads tighten for IG with sideways/softening on BB. AAA trade 151dm-175dm whilst there is an outlier short wal / high dm trade which doesn’t constitute the index, benchmarks trade 160dm-170dm with our AAA Index near the middle of this range 164dm.
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
AA trade 240dm-246dm with our AA Index tighter at 233dm, the trades are both current single-A rated so do explain the basis vis a vis the index, all other metrics largely in line. BBB trade 403dm-888dm with benchmarks 437dm-461dm (our BBB Index 446dm), with trades inside the index driven by a mix of strong MVOC metrics and strong manager profiles, with MVOC driving those bonds wide of the index. BB trade 778dm-951dm with benchmarks 829dm-848dm (BB Index 836dm), cuspy MVOC and post reinvestment bonds trade wide to the index.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
5 x BBBs have traded today, at an average spread of 511 dm. These are firmer levels than the previous day’s trading, by around 20 bps. The outlier is INVSC 5X D which traded wider than the rest at 595 dm because of its low MVOC.
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18 April 2023
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
$56m of liquidity in lower mezz today, US LSTA 100 Index +7bp dod and CLO spreads slightly firmer on the day. BBB trade 431dm-769dm with benchmarks 431dm-464dm (BBB Index 453dm), MVOC and high coupon bonds drive those residual bonds wide of the index. BB trade 838dm-1347dm with 1 x benchmark trade RRAM 2019-7A D1B CVR 90.78 at 838dm / 8.6y WAL – MVOC 103.5, coupon +650bps and Jnr OC cushion 5.5 (Redding Ridge the manager). The trades wide of the index are influenced by a combination of manager profile, high coupon and cuspy MVOC, eg. TRNTS 2018-9A E CVR 74.59 at 1347dm / 5.6y WAL (Trinitas), EoRP Nov-23, MVOC 99.54.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
4 x single A’s traded, at an average spread of 367 dm. They were wider than where dealers had been talking the bonds, especially for the more seasoned deals which have exited or about to exit their RPE date.
A lot of BBBs traded, at around 549 dm. Again dealers were consistently overly bullish in their talk levels. For us, BBB spreads have not moved much.
A number of equity line items were in for the bid. Two of them traded. Yields are in the LM40s which does look wider to us.
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17 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
Limited liquidity given the IMN CLO Conference in NYC today, 5 x AAA trades. US LSTA 100 Index +24bp dod. AAA trade tighter 155dm-162dm driving our AAA Index into 164dm, all of today's trades are benchmarks with $68m of notional exchanging hands.
EUR AAA CLO
NWDSE 2019-19X AN traded at 193 dm, in line with expectations. There were a few other AAAs that were in for the bid but did not meet their reserve levels and DNT’d.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
A good number of AAs have traded, at an average spread of 294 dm. This is wider than dealer talk in most cases and we have also widened our AA curve by 10 -15 bps.
Two single A’s have traded around 373 dm. These levels are in line with dealer talk.
OCPE 2020-4X ER, a BB, traded in line with talk at 880 dm.
Thee were two Harvest equity pieces in for the bid. Neither traded but the equivalent yield, for their px talk, was MH20s to L30s in yield.
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13 April 2023
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
$57m of trading today in mezz only with CLO spreads flat on the day, US LSTA 100 Index +11bp dod. BBB trade 402dm-586dm with benchmarks 462dm-464dm (BBB Index 457dm) as MVOC delta drives both sides of the index, there is a rare MM BBB trade MCMML 2019-2A D CVR 93.76 at 666dm / 4.9y WAL which is wider to recent comps from mid-end March that were in mid-late 500s context, the ADR is high 1.5, reinvestment period end is 6 months away and MVOC is a little low at 114.2. BB trade 759dm-1319dm with 2 x benchmarks trading in 845dm context (BB Index 832dm) with strong MVOC bonds inside the index and cuspy MVOC bonds wide of the index, with one bond in shortfall OZLM 2014-6A DS CVR 76.05 at 1319dm / 5.1y WAL – MVOC 99.58 and Jnr OC cushion 0.6 and Sculptor the manager.
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12 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
$100m of liquidity today with spreads continuing to grind tighter, US LSTA 100 Index +10bp dod. AAA trade 149dm-197dm with benchmarks 155dm-169dm and our AAA Index shifts to 167dm.
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
In mezz BB trade tighter 817dm-964dm with benchmarks 817dm-820dm and our BB Index tighter at 830dm, through the wide end of the index are bonds with lower MVOCs than benchmark (<101.5) or weaker manager profiles, eg. AMMC 2021-24A E CVR 86.56 at 916dm / 8.7y WAL – MVOC is good 102.4 but American Money Management has a weaker manager record versus peers so trades wide to benchmark.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
There was one AA trade today. VOYE 3X B1E traded at 272 dm which reflects the grinding in of AA spreads.
FOAKS 3A CR, a single A, traded at 356 dm. These have also been gradually tightening over the last week or so.
A lot of BBBs traded. Their average spread is 591 dm. This is unchanged in the last few trading sessions.
OCPE 2020-4A SUB traded at 30% yield / 70.57. For reference its NAV is -10.
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11 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
Ample activity today with $270m of trading across the stack, US LSTA 100 Index +3bp dod and CLO spreads typically firmer especially lower mezz. AAA trade 159dm-209dm with benchmarks tighter 163dm-175dm as we shift our AAA Index inside to 170dm, the tail of trades that are wide of the index are post reinvestment, 2nd pay or very high coupon so don’t qualify for the index.
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
AA trade 233dm-317dm with one benchmark trade OCP 2021-22A B1 CVR 95.82 at 245dm / 6.9y WAL (our AA Index is albeit slightly tighter at 236dm. Single-A trade 325dm-339dm with benchmarks 325dm-331dm and our single-A index is set at 331dm, the one trade inside the index MILOS 2017-1A CR CVR 95.53 at 325dm is post reinvestment. BBB trade 401dm-623dm with one benchmark trade MDPK 2013-11A DR CVR 94.76 at 431dm / 6.4y WAL (CSAM) with healthy MVOC 106.9 and reasonable metrics, our BBB Index is 460dm. 18 x BB trade tighter at 733dm-850dm with benchmarks 820dm-850dm and our BB Index 835dm, there are a number of trades inside the index <800dm attributable to strong MVOC profiles in 104.5 region versus benchmarks which are circa 2pts back to this.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
Just one BB trade today. BCCE 2021-1X E traded at 997 dm which is as expected. It has a low MVOC and traded slightly wider for that reason. There were a number of BBBs that DNT’d.
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10 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
$20m of liquidity today, all in AAA MM CLOs, US LSTA 100 Index +7bp dod. The MM CLO AAA trading range is 219dm-257dm which is the most meaninful basket of trades this year in this cohort, at the wider end of this range is ABPCI 2020-10A A1A CVR 98.62 at 257dm / 2y WAL (EoRP 2024) and is scaled wider to the remaining trades (219dm-229dm) accordingly given the 'higher' coupon +195bps.
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5 April 2023
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
Just the one trade today at the BB level, small ticket. US LSTA 100 Index +4bp dod. BB trade is GALXY 2018-28A E CVR 84.5 at 1015dm / 5.4y WAL, this bond has been downgraded to single-B current, MVOC is cuspy 100.4 and ends reinvestment in July, so does explain the basis wide to the index.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
Just two single B trades today. Their average traded spread is 1344 dm which is around 20 bps wider than recent levels. A number of AAAs and AAs failed to trade.
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4 April 2023
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
$69m of liquidity today across 45 trades all over the mezz stack and equity, CLO spreads remain stable/firm whilst US LSTA continues to climb, +13bp dod. AA trade 195dm-301dm with benchmarks a small subset 232dm-245dm with our AA Index 243dm with post reinvestment bonds dominating either side of the index, whilst 3 x trades with MVOC 119-120 trade at the wide end 287dm-301dm (vs 123 area MVOC benchmarks). Single-A trade 323dm-333dm which are at benchmark levels with our single-A Index 328dm. BBB trade 474dm-477dm versus our BBB Index 469dm. 23 x BB trade 785dm-1107dm with benchmarks 854dm-889dm with our BB Index 870dm, low coupons / high MVOC dominate trading levels inside the index whilst post reinvestment / cuspy MVOCs dominate those bonds that trade wide to the index (benchmark BB MVOC in 101.7 area). 2 x equity trade 17.5%-19% yield, GNRT 3A SUB (Generate) covers 29h with 18.8% NAV (19% yield) and is post reinv, whilst KKR 32A SUB covers 62h with 34.9% NAV (17.5% yield) with EoRP 2024.
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3 April 2023
USD CLO AAA
$47m of liquidity today across the stack, US LSTA 100 Index +25bp dod and CLO spreads tighter in high grade with BBB slightly softer on month end. AAA trade 153dm-193dm with benchmarks 169dm-171dm and our AAA Index tightening to 175dm, post reinvestment / short wal bonds make up the tail and tight end.
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
Single-A trade 281dm-307dm with a short wal bond from Blackrock MAGNE 2015-15A CR cover 96.51 at 281dm / 4.4y WAL well inside the index 327dm (MVOC strong 115.1, coupon +180bps). NEUB 2019-34A CR is the benchmark trade CVR 95.93 at 307dm / 5.6y WAL – MVOC 114 (in line with benchmarks), coupon +210bps and clean metrics. BBB trade 377dm-494dm with 2 x benchmarks trading 466dm, both are EoRP mid-late 2023 with MVOC 106.9-107.3 which is in line with benchmark peers (BBB Index 469dm). BB trades 733dm-1199dm with no benchmark trades (BB Index 871dm), bonds that trade tight to the index are MVOC driven (102.8-102.9 versus benchmark 101.8) with the tail bonds with dm’s north of 1000dm with MVOCs < 101.5.
EUR AAA CLO
3 x AAAs have traded, at around 181 dm. This is a tightening of around 10 bps.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
BBs have traded around 957 dm which looks like a tightening of around 20 bps to us.
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30 March 2023
EUR AAA CLO
CGMSE 2020-2X A1 traded at 198 dm today. It’s only one bond but this is back to the levels we were at before the Credit Suisse / SVB crisis.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
HAYEM 6X B1, a AA, traded at 296 dm, also back to pre-crisis levels, and this is in spite of the bond having a low MVOC of 126.35%.
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27 March 2023
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
Two BBBs traded today at an average spread of 583 dm. This is in line with the levels of the last few days.
A number of BBs have traded, at around 924 dm. This is a significant tightening compared to the last couple of days – by as much as 50 bps.
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24 March 2023
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
Only 1 bond traded via BWIC today. CORDA 23X E, a BB, traded at 86.77 / 992 dm / 8.02 yr, inline with spreads of the last few days.
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23 March 2023
USD CLO AAA
$52m of liquidity over 29 trades today across IG and SubIG, US LSTA 100 Index +22bp dod and CLO spreads are firmer. AAA trade 164dm-192dm with benchmarks tighter on the day 177dm-182dm (AAA Index 180dm).
USD CLO Mezz/Equity
AA trade 234dm-259dm with benchmarks 252dm-259dm with our AA Index 258dm, 1.4m of APID 2021-36A B covers 96.1 at 234dm / 6.4y WAL inside the index given the strong MVOC 126.2. Single-A benchmarks trade 314dm-352dm with our single-A Index 341dm, 4 x MM CLOs trade 409dm-428dm. BBB and BB trades are all non benchmark trades with a number of bonds post reinvestment, MM CLO or low MVOC.
EUR MEZZ/EQUITY CLO
BBBs have traded today at an average spread of +578. This is a little wider than 2 weeks ago but not as much as could have been feared. We can see how BBBs have dropped in value because both ARESE 15X D and TIKEH 6X D traded on 6 March at around 1.25 pts higher than today.
The average spread on BBs today is 1064 dm. This average is skewed by the fact that two of the trades, GLGE 3X E and ADAGI V-X ER, are from bonds with very low MVOCs. Overall, again we see some widening in generic BBs but it is modest.